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After the official announcement of the Minister of Economy, Sergio Massa, del plan de recompra de bonos, su equipo avanzó actively y sin disimulo en el programa según el cual se dispondrán USD 1.000 milliones para el rescate de deuda en dólares. El propio ministro announced a primera “orden de compra” por USD 300 million que, en las dos primeras jornadas del plan, fue insumida en grand parte según los operators del mercado.
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Los detalles y objetivos secretos del unexpected anuncio de Massa para recomprar deuda: cómo lo pensó y qué busca logar
The minister explained to Infobae the measure that he gave today, why he chose these bonds and what effect he could have on the debt and the dollar
Entre las operaciones del día del debut y las detectadas en la jornada siguiente, las estimaciones privadas arrojan un saldo de intervention de USD 227 milliones, lo que equivale a casi 23% del monto total previsto programa.
The figure is divided into USD 110 million for the first day, while the remaining USD 117 million were operated in the second, according to data from Aurum Valores. Sin embargo.
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Pero la intervention tuvo impacto en el objetivo primordial del equipo económico, orientado a contenar la presión sobre la cotización financier del dólar que ayer registró un leve retroceso en el caso del dólar Bolsa (cerró a $333) y marcó la diferencia. “The Gobierno continued to intervene in the markets but this time it was focused on the GD30. En mercados donde no opera el BCRA el valor del CCL se ubicó $20 más caro”, advised the analysts of Aurum Valores, who sobre el fin de la jornada calcularon los montos de intervention oficial. “We estimate that the sale of BCRA dollars by the Treasury between yesterday and today would have added up to USD 227 million. En la medida que la operaciona compra de bonos contra dolares y venta contra pesos, el stock de bonos no cambiará y las paridades no se modificarían por esta operatoria, aunque podian subir o bajar por otros motivos. De hecho, es lo que empezó a suceder, con la caida de precios que se verificó en los mercados externalos”, advirtieron.
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Estrategia en Economía: foco en dólar e inflation y cómo impactan los rumors sobre una supuesta candidate del ministro
Sergio Massa redobló los reproches dentro del oficialismo hacia quienes lo mencionan como candidate para las presidenciales de este año y analizó por qué subió la cotización libre en estos ultimos días. Cómo ve el impacto del conflicto con la Justicia
Las cifras son compartidades por varios analistas y operators del mercado aunque tanto desde el Palacio de Hacienda como desde el Banco Central evitaron preciseron al respecto. They only clarified that “El Tesoro is not the only buyer” and that there was a private offer. En cualquier caso, el anuncio oficial que fue recibido con matice siguió generando debate.
“El objetivo de todo esto es la intervention en el tipo de cambio financiero: compran los bonos con las reservas y tienen major margen para vender esos bonos en dollars contra pesos y evitar la presión en el contado con liquidación. In this way, they want to have more ammunition to control the inflation that is the main objective”, explained the economist from Anker. Federico Furiase.
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“The amount announced is 3.5% of the total debt that floats in the market and 15% of the net reserves. Es un número muy grande para el nivel de reservas pero representa muy de la deuda. Es más que nada una signal al mercado para hacer más efficient la intervention en el dólar financiero”, he added.
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The BCRA sold in the market for the third consecutive day, but in January it conserved a positive balance of USD 170 million.
La entity se desprendió de USD 38 million por su participation cambiaria; The entity had 3 consecutive rounds of sales, which totaled USD 113 million from Tuesday 17
Also from Wall Street there were divided opinions. While one of the big investment banks like the Bank of America considered that the decision to repurchase bonds is a “positive signal about the disposition to pay” and risked even that Argentina started to recover credibility in the market, desde other entities had una mirada más crítica It is the case of the company of financial services BBG, which referred in hard terms to the decision to contrast the difficulties to face the debt repayments in pesos but at the same time launch a rescue of bonds in dollars and criticized the timing for them implementation. “The Minister of Economy, Sergio Massa, explained that the recent fall in the country’s returns has opened a window of opportunity. En octubre, los bonos argentinos a 2030 cotizaban por debajo de los 20 centavos por dólar. They went up to 32.6 centavos on Tuesday, but today they went up 11% to 36.3 centavos. In general, se piensa que es mejor recomprar sus bonos cuando están baratos que cuando acaban de tener un masivo repunte”, sostuvo la agency.
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